Scorpion Bottle

By Luis Manuel Aguana

Versión en español

Taken from the portal “El Español”: Trump, Putin y Guaidó lo tenían todo acordado con Maduro para el exilio, pero Cabello se negó a caer” (see note in Spanish in  https://www.elespanol.com/mundo/20190501/trump-putin-guaido-acordado-maduro-exilio-cabello/395211059_0.html). And I wonder if you were Diosdado and your associates are doing business behind your back where the only one who pays for the feast, the looting and the destruction of the country that they have done together is you, and the others retire to a golden exile, what would you do? The answer seems obvious from anyone who is in that position, and even more so in that of this particular protagonist: everyone dies here with me.

But in what head would it be that such a business could function without violence, hoping that the one who would pay the bill would just let himself be fucked (and forgive my bad English) just like that without doing anything else? Was a peaceful transition expected in those conditions? What kind of business were they doing in the official opposition? As we get to know the details of the events that took place before the dawn of April 30, we can weigh with due dimension how they are negotiating our future, and if that has any sustainability.

The statement by John Bolton, Trump’s advisor, after revealing the names of those who were negotiating with the official opposition is very disturbing, according to the Spanish portal: “So, if you are Nicolás Maduro, could you keep looking your defense minister in the face and trust him? I don’t think so. I think Maduro is now inside a bottle full of scorpions and it’s all a matter of time”.

 But it is not really the Minister of Defense that Maduro should distrust, if at the end of the day, as Bolton himself says, he was involved in this “retirement” plan, but Diosdado Cabello. From now on, anything can happen to Maduro, not from the official opposition or the United States, but from those whom the usurper intended to betray. Do not lose sight of the fact that here we are already moving away from the realm of politics to that of criminal activity, as we have always warned. The capos don’t beat about the bush when they discover a betrayal of that size.

That’s why Bolton calls it “a bottle full of scorpions.” What Bolton doesn’t know, because he doesn’t live in Venezuela, is that in that bottle there is not only Maduro, we are all Venezuelans. And why do I say that? Because we Venezuelans are extremely dependent on what happens to the government. That’s why we’ve been getting the stick for 20 years. A communist government, and from a certain moment on, an extremely toxic guerrilla, narco-trafficker and terrorist, has led to the economic ruin of each and every one of us who live in this country. That is why everyone who can get out of this hell that Venezuela has turned into escapes.

How does it affect us that Maduro did not leave on April 30 because of the “small flaw” in that negotiation with delinquents, of having left without response precisely who turns out to be perhaps the biggest obstacle because the Venezuelan problem cannot be resolved peacefully?

First, those who are behind the wheel of the interim government of Juan Guaidó, starting with the President in Charge himself, should be clear that terrorists and criminals are not negotiable. That defines a whole course of political action vis-à-vis the people and defines a completely different course of action than the one that led to this failed negotiation. The Americans are there to support and help the driver, not to drive for him. If there are flaws in that wrongdoing they could be blamed on another. I make this claim because it must be remembered that any mistake there costs and influences many Venezuelan lives.

I have always indicated that we are not dealing with politicians but with criminals. If the interim government group headed by Juan Guaidó had that clear, today it wouldn’t be calling us to a general strike after the greatest support any politician has ever had in Venezuela. We are already unemployed! The country is paralyzed! Doesn’t Guaidó know the statistics of the continued closure of companies and the ruin of the country? Venezuelans need more work than ever in this hyperinflationary chaos.

How can it be the answer to the failure of the “breakup of the Armed Forces” of the 23F and now of the 30A, that those who can still work stop doing so? The regime would be dead laughing about it! That’s precisely what they want because by further weakening the private sector people would become dependent only on the crumbs in food that the regime sells. I suggest – or rather I demand as a Venezuelan – Guaidó’s team more creativity in what is to come now.

Because these announcements are precisely the result of the lack of a clear policy in relation to the Cessation of Usurpation. As of May 1st, and even more so after this new failed attempt to “break up the Armed Forces”, the country is waiting for an accurate opposition leadership. I agree to continue the protest in the street but it must be more specialized and directed. That the unions raise their level of sectoral demand even more in the face of the multiple failures of this misgovernment. That students and teachers demand and protest against the disarray of an education that has come to the floor with 50% of the children who do not go to school. Staying on the street is the easiest thing to do because there is so much to protest about.

But what cannot be tolerated is the search for a solution that includes those who were primarily responsible for this tragedy. That is unacceptable. There is a managerial maxim that indicates that a problem cannot be solved with those who were the main culprits. You simply do not solve it. And if the perpetrators do not want to leave because they have kidnapped power, committed crimes against humanity and ignored the rules of democracy, those who exercise the legitimate representation of the people must force them out seeking the necessary international help, because that is the type of decisions that go with the post and the responsibility that they assumed with us, for those same rules of democracy. This is not new in the world and there is enough justification in the treaties and agreements that the Nation has signed to request it, such as the Principle of the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) of the UN. If they could find a way to negotiate with Maduro and his thieves, they could well find a way to convince the world of that humanitarian intervention.

But there are interested forces within the official opposition that don’t want to do that. Well, they’d better solve it because Venezuela will soon become a real bottle full of scorpions with all of us inside, where the least of our worries will be Nicolás Maduro Moros.

Caracas, May 2, 2019

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Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com

Twitter:@laguana